Publications

Evidence from 318 U.S. service managers on how turnover intention and rater attitudes quietly degrade — or preserve — the quality of performance appraisal, with direct implications for service organizations.

A single, verifiable account of InsightBridge Global: legal structure, three practices, five digital properties, leadership, published record and products — every substantive claim carries a public URL. Prepared for clients, partners and proposal-evaluation committees; a two-page Executive Summary accompanies the 27-page compendium (available on the Advisory page).

Two shocks have tested the global economic system in 2026 simultaneously: the energy-security shock from the conflict with Iran and the disruption of oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. tariff realignment after the Supreme Court's February 2026 ruling, including the first-ever use of Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 against Canada. The paper asks how the EU, Canada, Japan and South Korea are responding and what this implies for the world economy to 2035. Key judgments: hedging, not decoupling; regionalization driven by risk management rather than ideology; structural dependence still constrains collective action; financial infrastructure changes slowly; the most likely outcome is "managed multipolarity". Chinese edition available separately.

2026年，全球经济体系同时受到两类冲击：对伊朗打击引发的能源安全冲击与霍尔木兹海峡油气通行受阻，以及美国最高法院2026年2月裁决后的关税体系重构，包括首次援引《1930年关税法》第338条对加拿大加征关税。本文讨论欧盟、加拿大、日本、韩国等主要工业经济体如何应对，以及这些应对对2035年前世界经济结构意味着什么。核心判断：对冲而非脱钩；区域化的主要动力是风险管理而非意识形态；结构性依赖仍制约集体经济行动；金融基础设施演变缓慢；最可能的结果是"有管理的多极化"。另有英文版。

A non-partisan, fact-based strategic assessment of cross-strait dynamics for 2026–2030: geopolitical realignment, the crisis of identity, and the capability-and-cost calculus that will determine stability. Objective and evidence-bound; not representing the position of any government.

Develops Core Code Theory to explain how organizational trust converts into crisis resilience: accumulated trust transforms into collective sacrifice behavior during crises, while identity-based capabilities — moral courage, non-linear intuition, principled dissent — remain uniquely human when cognitive tasks become algorithmic.

Drawing on the resource-based view, this paper conceptualizes corporate governance as a scalable ethical capability and shows how firm size amplifies the strategic returns to sustainability-oriented resource orchestration.

A two-way fixed-effects analysis of 21,578 firm-year observations showing that innovation intensity and sustainability disclosure are powerful determinants of substantive — not symbolic — environmental performance.

Reframes ethical conduct as a scalable organizational capability: corporate governance is positively associated with sustainability performance, and firm size moderates — and strengthens — that relationship.

Challenges the prevailing negative-disconfirmation paradigm in environmental advertising: visible imperfection can function as an effort signal that cultivates brand authenticity among digital natives, integrating signaling theory and the elaboration likelihood model.

Argues that technically 'perfect' selection systems systematically favor deceptive performers over authentic leaders — a fatal blind spot of technical bureaucracy that erodes organizational resilience precisely when it is needed most.

Part 1 of the three-part Home Model series: what a $300 million talent raid reveals about management debt, the difference between transactional 'hotel' cultures and 'home' cultures, and why loyalty cannot be purchased.

How Jensen Huang forged twin strategic constraints — export controls (China once ~25% of NVIDIA revenue) and the cloud-API software wall — into a self-reinforcing hardware sovereignty loop: system recomposition (DGX AI computers), open-source compression (Nemotron 3.5 driving software premium to zero), and precision positioning on data sovereignty. Nine chapters covering constraint anatomy, mechanism dissection, flywheel dynamics, a CFO-view ledger, four-risk antifragility audit, 2026–2036 scenario projections, and the Holographic Dynamic Thinking methodology.

Five structural predictions on Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 ultra-luxury tourism program (May–July 2026). Five confirmations from GASTAT / JLL / PIF / Reuters within 4–8 weeks: ADR −11.4%, Riyadh occupancy −13.5pp, NEOM redesigned, The Line deferred to 2030 with $8B written off, Mukaab suspended, PIF earmarking $16B for contract terminations. Bilingual, cross-published, 3-layer HNR attribution.

A time-stamped bilingual archive of Vision 2030 hospitality predictions published from May through July 2026, cross-checked against official Saudi statistics and market evidence released in June and July.

Over the past three decades, the Western world has entered structural crises across three simultaneous domains: political institutions have lost their capacity for self-correction, business civilization has been captured…

本文从管理学者视角出发，系统诊断过去三十年西方世界在政治制度、商业文明与组织管理三个层面同时陷入的结构性危机，将这一危机的深层逻辑命名为”榨取文明”（Extraction Civilization）。文章综合运用两套原创性理论框架——原创的”核心代码理论”（Core Code Theory）与”家园模型”（The Home Model）两…

The Taiwan Strait represents one of the most consequential strategic flashpoints of the early twenty-first century. This strategic analysis report examines three interlocking dynamics reshaping cross-strait stability ove…

Core Code Theory addresses a foundational puzzle in organizational trust research: why do marginally different trust investments produce dramatically different crisis outcomes? Existing frameworks, including Mayer, Davis…

This HBS-format teaching case study (independent) examines the sustainability of high-intensity 'extraction management' cultures by analyzing two of the world's most strategically significant enterprises: Tesla under Elon Musk and…

本案例以特斯拉和华为为核心分析对象，探讨榨取式管理文化（即「狼性文化」）在规模化扩张阶段所积累的「管理负债」，并提出以「家文化2.0」模型为核心的可持续领导力替代路径。案例以两段创始神话开篇：特斯拉高管朱晓彤在2022年上海封控期间与工人同住工厂地板、亲手舀水防止厂房垮塌，以及埃隆·马斯克在2008年平安夜将最后4000万美元私人资金注入公司以避免破产。这两段极端承诺的叙事既彰显了榨取文化的动员能量，也引发了关于其长期可持续性的根本追问…

生成式AI已能完美模拟高管风范，使董事会传统选拔指标面临系统性失效风险。尽管全球每年在领导力发展和继任规划上投入逾3660亿美元，新任CEO的失败率依然居高不下：约40%在上任18个月内未能达到业绩预期，管理不善的高管交接每年在标普1500指数公司中造成近1万亿美元的市值损失。本文将这一结构性危机归因于”官僚界面偏差”——制度化选拔流程系统性地奖励高伪装人格，同时过滤掉道德勇气、独立判断和挑战权威的意愿，即组织在真正危机中最需要的品质。…

This paper argues that modern institutions across government, academia, and corporations have evolved sophisticated mechanisms that systematically identify and eliminate their most capable members while rewarding conform…

In 2026, generative AI can simulate virtually every traditional signal boards rely upon to select chief executives, including polished communication, consistent KPI achievement, and empathetic public presence. Yet the fa…

本报告以结构现实主义和比较政治社会学为理论透镜，对2026至2030年间台湾海峡稳定的结构性基础进行了系统性的非党派评估。报告识别了两岸稳定的两大核心支柱：外部军事威慑与内部文化认同，并提供证据表明两者正同时承受日益增大的压力。在军事维度，报告详细分析了中华人民共和国反介入/区域拒止（A2/AD）能力的成熟——包括反舰弹道导弹（东风-21D、东风-26）、高超音速滑翔飞行器（东风-17）及综合传感网络——以及力量投射平台与区域拒止平台之…

This case examines how NVIDIA, a leading AI and accelerated-computing company, built strategic organizational resilience through an unconventional, trust-centric management model under the long-tenured leadership of CEO …

在2026年动荡的全球经济环境中，本文揭示了”狼性文化”管理模式的根本脆弱性，并提出了一种基于普遍互惠的战略替代方案——”家园模式”。作者尹彤博士结合五年博士研究和二十年高管实践，系统论证了为何基于交易型激励结构的组织在极端危机中会发生灾难性崩溃，而基于身份认同的忠诚则能够创造金钱无法复制的”生存溢价”。 文章首先引入”侮辱溢价”概念，即组织为补偿非人性化工作条件而向员工支付的经济溢价。在稳定增长期，这一机制运转正常；但当外部冲击剥夺…

本文从宏观经济、政治极化、制度困局、选举预判与亚洲视角五个维度，系统剖析当前美国经济与政治体系所面临的深层结构性矛盾。文章指出，美国经济呈现出令人困惑的「双重人格」：一方面，2025年底GDP年化增长率高达4.4%，制造业回流政策的推进令宏观账面亮眼；另一方面，自2021年以来高达20%至25%的累计通胀已使普通民众的实际购买力大幅缩水。这一「数据繁荣、体感衰退」的背离，被作者定义为美国经济的K型分化与滞胀风险的集中体现。文章援引瑞银（…

This article introduces a conceptual framework that distinguishes between two fundamentally different forms of leadership capability: 'Performance UI' and 'Core Code.' Performance UI refers to the polished, observable in…

本文发表于《联合早报》言论版，作者殷彤从现实主义视角对台海局势提出系统性分析，并构建一套新的稳定框架。文章指出，进入2026年，维系台海和平的两大传统支柱——外部军事威慑与内部文化认同——正同步遭受前所未有的侵蚀，若各方无法在2026至2030年关键窗口期内找回现实主义的平衡，台海和平的动态均衡恐将难以为继。在军事维度，作者详细分析了中国大陆区域拒止能力的成熟如何从根本上改变第一岛链内的制海权逻辑。以东风系列反舰弹道导弹与高超音速武器为…

The global hotel industry has entered what InsightBridge terms the 'efficiency competition cycle,' a structural phase in which top-line revenue growth alone can no longer sustain profitability. The post-pandemic rebound …

This article argues that the defining variable in hotel crisis survival is not operational efficiency, pricing sophistication, or AI capability, but the depth of trust reserves accumulated between an organisation and its…

This paper argues that tourism is the most consequential misclassified industry in contemporary economic strategy. For mid-sized nations in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, tourism routinely contributes 12 to 17 per c…

Independent hotel operators across Southeast Asia routinely underestimate the true commercial cost of distributing through online travel agencies such as Booking.com. While the headline commission rate is typically cited…

Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 hospitality transformation has by most macro indicators been a historic success: 122 to 123 million tourists arrived in 2025, tourism spending reached SAR 300 billion, and 362,000 new hotel roo…

The traditional marketing-finance value chain faces three mounting validity challenges that collectively undermine its utility for modern resource allocation decisions. First, its foundational data rely on self-reported …

Why do some high-growth firms thrive amid apparent chaos while others implode under similar conditions? This paper develops Dynamic Driver Replacement Theory (DDRT), a life-cycle framework that explains how the relative …

This case study examines a fundamental dilemma faced by transnational hotel companies: whether monetary compensation alone is sufficient to attract, retain, and agglomerate employees, particularly expatriate managers ope…

2025年中，Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格以高达3亿美元的四年薪酬方案从OpenAI挖走多位核心华人AI科学家，此举震动硅谷。本文认为，这一事件的根本原因并非薪资竞争，而是OpenAI在商业化转型过程中长期积累的”管理负债”（Management Debt）集中引爆。管理负债是指领导者每次以信任与归属感换取短期绩效时无声积累的隐性负债，与软件工程中的技术负债如出一辙，复利增长直至危机爆发。本文提出三种管理范式的对比分析框架：以华为为…

Reference price, defined as the internal standard against which consumers evaluate actual product prices, has received considerable attention in marketing literature. Yet the factors that determine how consumers form ref…